Midterms who will win and why? Survey

[noname223]

It's the economy stupid. Isn't it? Will the inflation be the reason why Biden will become a lame duck. Some months ago the abortion-ruling seemed to help the Democrats. But now the economy is the main focus.

I am in favor of the Democrats though It is likely they will lose.
However my prognosis is: The Dems will maintain the House (with a very slim margin) and the Republicans will win the Senate.

But it is clear it is way more likely the Republicans will win both chambers than the opposite (that the Dems will maintain the control of both.) I think my prognosis is somewhat influenced by wishful thinking.

Now you can give your prognosis/ opinion. What will have had the biggest impact on the results? Saving democracy how Biden puts it? Or the economy? Abortion and culture war? Immigration? Ukraine?

 

[earshurt]

I truly think this is going to be a wipeout for Dems - the midterms are almost always a disaster for the President's party these days. However if polling is accurate (and it was in 2018), then there's still a fair chance of Dems retaining the Senate. The Dems have a favorable Senate election map with which to withstand the midterms backlash, and if they lose the Senate too it's on them for being useless.

Honestly, regardless of the outcome, we're on a slowboat to Hades with regards to democracy in this country.

EDIT: I think what will have the biggest impact on the economy is inflation, followed closely by the tendency of swing voters to be "thermostatic voters" that just hate whoever is currently in power.

 

[Maudlin]

Honestly, regardless of the outcome, we're on a slowboat to Hades with regards to democracy in this country.

The boat is moving much faster, now.

Just wait for the collapse of the Fed. You probably won't even notice it, when it happens... there will be too much else going on.

And you'll likely be too hungry to care, when the time comes.

What will have had the biggest impact on the results?

I think this might have a strong impact.

National Guard Cybersecurity Units Activated in 14 States Ahead of Midterm Elections: Reports - American Partisan

Cybersecurity units from the National Guard will be activated in 14 U.S. […]

www.americanpartisan.org

I could guess, but I can't tell you which way that impact will be directed. lol