The poll industry seems to be full of anxious sheep. There was this Iowa poll that was a disaster. I suspected the polls were off because I could not imagine that it would be that close. It seemed to be way too close to 50/50. Barely anyone dared to publish a bold poll. However, I suspected they were off in this opposite direction. Lol.
-
Hey Guest,
As you know, censorship around the world has been ramping up at an alarming pace. The UK and OFCOM has singled out this community and have been focusing its censorship efforts here. It takes a good amount of resources to maintain the infrastructure for our community and to resist this censorship. We would appreciate any and all donations.
Bitcoin Address (BTC): 39deg9i6Zp1GdrwyKkqZU6rAbsEspvLBJt
Ethereum (ETH): 0xd799aF8E2e5cEd14cdb344e6D6A9f18011B79BE9
Monero (XMR): 49tuJbzxwVPUhhDjzz6H222Kh8baKe6rDEsXgE617DVS
DD8UKNaXvKNU8dEVRTAFH9Av8gKkn4jDzVGF25snJgNfUfKKNC8
NumbItAll
expendable
- May 20, 2018
- 1,106
I doubt it, since there is financial incentive to be the most accurate and maintain credibility. I'm not sure what it would achieve to publish false results anyway. A 2-3 point point average polling miss is statistically quite normal. The issue that seems to be happening repeatedly is that pollsters are unable to capture low propensity voters who turn out for Trump. This possibility was explained pre-election by Nate Cohn: https://archive.ph/bZxB4
Yes, the Selzer Iowa poll was quite a shock. Turned out to be the worst miss of her career by far.
Yes, the Selzer Iowa poll was quite a shock. Turned out to be the worst miss of her career by far.
